Analysis

Tron bulls can consider this level if they falter

TRX could face another price rejection at the bearish OB on H12. Bulls can consider seeking re-entry at this level…

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Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

  • TRX’s H12 market structure bias was bullish.
  • Open Interest rates steadied near $63 million.

Bitcoin’s [BTC] recent upswings have set most altcoins to reverse losses made in the first half of June. In particular, Tron [TRX] edged closer to reclaiming the June high of $0.08580. However, the altcoin must deal with a roadblock, a bearish order block, below the June high to advance further. 


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A recent report established that Tron outperformed Ethereum [ETH] in total value locked. But TRX’s price action remained within the whims of market sentiment, especially the BTC price movement. 

Will bulls falter again?

Source: TRX/USDT on TradingView

At the time of writing, TRX’s price action rebounded near the $0.07858 level after rejection at the bearish order block of $0.0826 – $0.0858 (red) on the H12 chart. Bulls still aimed at the bearish OB and could falter again if the roadblock proves sticky to crack. 

A likely drop could ease the confluence area of $0.0786 and the ascending trendline support. Notably, the ascending trendline has been at a crucial support level since mid-June. A drop and likely rebound at the confluence area could offer bulls re-entry for long positions targeting the bearish OB. 

A breach of the ascending trendline support will invalidate the bullish thesis. Such a breach could make a retest of $0.7500 feasible. 

Meanwhile, the Average Directional Index was above 20, and the Chaikin Money Flow was above the zero mark, indicating a strong uptrend and capital inflows for TRX.

But the RSI retreated from the overbought zone but eased near the 60 marks, reinforcing that buying pressure was still present. 


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Open Interest rates wavered

Source: Coinalyze

TRX’s recent retest of the bearish OB was marked by a positive CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) – rising slope, which underscored bulls’ leverage. 

But the Open Interest (OI) rates fluctuated below $63 million in the past few hours. Notably, the 13 July price jump was followed by a sharp rise in OI from about $57 million to $63 million. But OI wavered below $63 million after that – a stagnated demand in the futures market.