Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be taken as investment advice
The weekend curse seemed to continue as the global cryptocurrency market opened in the red on yet another Saturday. Ethereum was no exception to the trend and found itself burdened by selling pressure. At press time, the world’s largest altcoin was trading at $2,227, down by 4% in the last 24 hours.
Ethereum 1-day chart
Source: ETH/USD, TradingView
Ethereum’s daily chart pictured an ascending triangle breakdown after the price was rejected at the 20-SMA (red) and $2,540 resistance. A southbound trend ensued and losses amounted to over 13% from the bottom trendline of the pattern. The next question was – What level could provide support for ETH’s downfall?
23 April’s swing low of $2,080 was one defensive option. A bounce back from this region triggered a 100% rally in end-April and saw the digital asset hit its ATH above $4,000. While a similar outcome is certainly unlikely in a bear market, the line could offer support nonetheless.
Further down the charts, another support line rested at 23rd May’s swing low of $1,730. This area was further bolstered by the 200-SMA (green). Once ETH finds its resting ground, the focus would switch to certain resistance levels but the bulls would face an uphill task to target a break above $2,900.
Reasoning
The Relative Strength Index has been unable to break above 50 since the 19th May crash. This indicated that bears were still in control of market prices despite several recovery attempts over the last few weeks. The MACD did see some choppy movement since June but the same has failed to rise above equilibrium. Moreover, the On Balance Volume’s downtrend suggested that selling pressure was still dominant in the market.
While more downside was certainly on the cards, ETH’s support zones can be expected to alleviate incoming selling pressure. However, the price would be constrained going forward. The 20-SMA hovered next to $2,540 and gains would likely be contained below this line over the coming days. Even in the unlikely event of a breakout, ETH did not look ready to climb above $2,900 just yet.
Conclusion
Ethereum can be expected to find support around $2,080-2,000 region moving forward. A sturdier form of defense rested at $1,730, should it be called into action. In case of a bullish resurgence, ETH could struggle to break above $2,540 over the coming days as bears still had the upper hand.
